The socio-economic burden of H1-antihistamine-refractory chronic spontaneous urticaria in Germany.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIM: Data from the AWARE study (A Worldwide Antihistamine-Refractory chronic urticaria patient Evaluation) illustrate a substantial disease burden in German patients with H1-antihistamine (-H1-AH)-refractory chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU). Detrimental effects on patients' quality of life, poor disease control and impairment in the ability to work and perform other daily activities are reported. Based on these findings, this study aims to quantify the epidemiological and socio-economic burden of H1-AH-refractory CSU in Germany. METHODS: To determine the epidemiological burden of H1-AH-refractory CSU, the age- and gender-specific prevalence of CSU and the proportion of H1-AH-refractory patients in Germany anonymized data from the InGef research database have been used. In a second step, the socio-economic burden in terms of lost numbers of hours in paid and unpaid work was calculated by extrapolating the age- and gender-specific work productivity and activity impairment (WPAI) observed in AWARE to the H1-AH-refractory CSU population in Germany. Finally, productivity losses in paid and unpaid work were monetized using the human capital and the friction cost approach respectively. Moreover, socio-economic burden was calculated depending on symptom control of the patients (measured by urticaria control test [UCT]). RESULTS: In Germany, over 203,000 patients (20 years or older) had H1-AH-refractory CSU in 2018. The avoided lost paid and unpaid work hours attributable to H1-AH-refractory CSU summed up to over 100 million. Overall, the socio-economic burden of H1-AH-refractory CSU in monetary terms was evaluated at € 2.2 billion and the majority of this was due to unpaid work loss. Patients with poor disease control, as indicated by UCT score < 12, were more likely to suffer from high impairment than patients with controlled disease, resulting in a higher socio-economic burden. CONCLUSION: The results of our analyses picture the substantial socio-economic burden of H1-AH-refractory CSU and therefore the tremendous impact it has on daily lives of individuals and society overall.

Treatment Patterns, Outcomes, and Persistence to Newly Started Heart Failure Medications in Patients with Worsening Heart Failure: A Cohort Study from the United States and Germany.

BACKGROUND: Data are limited regarding guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) treatment patterns in patients with worsening heart failure (HF). METHODS: We used administrative claims databases in Germany and the USA to conduct a retrospective cohort study of patients with worsening HF. Two cohorts of patients with prevalent HF and a HF hospitalization (HFH) from 2016 to 2019, alive at discharge (N = 75,140 USA; N = 47,003 Germany) were identified. Index date was the first HFH during the study period. One-year HF rehospitalization and mortality rates were calculated and a composite endpoint of both outcomes assessed using Kaplan-Meier estimation. We evaluated HF medication patterns in the 6 months before and after the index date. New users of a HF medication (at discharge/after index HFH) were followed for 1 year to evaluate persistence (no treatment gaps > 2 months) RESULTS: One-year HF rehospitalization rates were 36.2% (USA) and 47.7% (Germany). One year mortality rates were 30.0% (USA) and 23.0% (Germany), and the composite endpoint (mortality/HF rehospitalization) was reached in 55.1 % (USA) and 56.6% (Germany). Kaplan-Meier plots showed the risk for the composite endpoint was high in the early post discharge period. Comparison of patterns pre- and postindex HFH showed some increase in use of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs), angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI), and triple therapy; use of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor/ angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) plus beta-blockers remained constant/slightly declined; < 20% patients received triple therapy (ACE inhibitor/ARB plus beta-blocker plus MRA). A third of patients were new users; 1 year persistence rates were often low. CONCLUSIONS: Morbidity, mortality, and rehospitalization risk is high among patients with worsening HF; uptake and continuation of GDMT is suboptimal.

Changing treatment landscape associated with improved survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide, population-based study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is undergoing a historic transformation with the approval of several new systemic therapies in the last few years. This study aimed to examine the impact of this changing landscape on survival and costs in a Western nationwide, real-world cohort. METHODS: A nationwide representative claims database (InGef) was screened for HCC cases between 2015 and 2020. Survival in an era with only sorafenib (period A, January 2015 to July 2018) and after approval of lenvatinib and other systemic treatments (period B, August 2018 to December 2020) was analysed. Health care costs were assessed. RESULTS: We identified 2876 individuals with HCC in the study period. The proportion of patients receiving systemic therapy increased significantly over time, from 11.8% in 2015 to 15.1% in 2020 (p < 0.0001). The median overall survival in period B was 6.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.9-8.9) and in period A was 5.3 months (95% CI: 4.5-6.3; p = 0.046). In period B, the median overall survival with lenvatinib was 9.7 months (95% CI: 6.3-18.4) versus 4.8 months with sorafenib (95% CI: 4.0-7.1, p = 0.008). Costs for prescription drugs per patient increased from €6150 in 2015 to €9049 in 2020 (p < 0.0001), and costs for outpatient care per patient increased from €1646 to €2149 (p = 0.0240). CONCLUSION: The approval of new systemic therapies resulted in a survival benefit in patients with HCC. The magnitude of the effect is modest and associated with a moderate increase in health costs.

Malignancy rates in Crohn's disease patients with perianal fistula: A German retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease are at increased risk of colorectal and extra-intestinal cancer. However, the overall cancer risk in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) with perianal fistulas (PF) (CPF) and those with CD without PF (non-PF CD) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To describe the prevalence and incidence of cancer in patients with CPF and non-PF CD, and to estimate incidence rate ratio (IRR) of cancer between CPF and non-PF CD groups. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the German InGef (Institute for Applied Health Research Berlin) research database. Patients with a CD record and PF from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2014 were identified and followed up from 1 January 2015 until the first occurrence of cancer, end of health insurance contributing data, death, or end of study period (31 December 2020). Prevalence of any type of cancer including patients with CD diagnosed with cancer in the selection period and incidence of cancer excluding patients with CD diagnosed with cancer in the selection period were calculated. RESULTS: In total, 10,208 patients with CD were identified. Of 824 patients with CPF (8.1%), 67 had had a malignancy (6-year period crude malignancy prevalence 8.13% [95% confidence interval (CI) 6.36%-10.21%]), which was lower than patients with non-PF CD (19.8% [95% CI 19%-20.6%]). Incidence (per 100,000 person-years) in patients with CPF was 1184 (95% CI 879-1561) and in non-PF CD was 2365 (95% CI 2219-2519). There was no significant difference in the adjusted IRR of cancer for the CPF group compared with the non-PF CD group (0.83 [95% CI 0.62-1.10]; p = 0.219). CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in the incidence of any cancer in patients with CPF compared with non-PF CD. However, patients with CPF had a higher numerical risk of cancer than the general German population.

Epidemiology and Risk Factors of Clostridioides difficile Infections in Germany: A Health Claims Data Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is increasingly recognized as a public health threat at the community level in addition to being one of the most common causes of healthcare-associated infections. In Germany, the epidemiology of CDI is primarily informed by national hospital-based CDI surveillance. We used health claims data from Germany to obtain valuable insights on population-level disease burden and risk factors for CDI. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study using a representative sample from the InGef research database. Overall and age- and sex-stratified CDI incidence rates were estimated for German adults from 2013 to 2017 using different case definitions (i.e., main, broad, strict), and further stratified by setting (inpatient versus outpatient). Risk factors for CDI were assessed for the 2013-2016 period. RESULTS: The CDI incidence rate was high but declined by 15.3% from 2013 [141 (95% confidence interval, CI 137-145) cases/100,000 person-years] to 2017 [120 (95% CI 116-123)]. Annual CDI incidence rates were higher in female patients and the elderly. The most important risk factors for CDI were chronic inflammatory bowel disease [odds ratio (OR) 4.7, 95% CI 4.0-5.5], chemotherapy (OR 4.7, 95% CI 4.1-5.2), chronic kidney disease (OR 2.9, 95% CI 2.6-3.3), and ciprofloxacin receipt (OR 2.6, 95% CI 2.4-2.8). CONCLUSIONS: Despite prevention strategies leading to declining incidence, CDI remains an important public health threat in Germany, with a high burden in the hospital setting and an outpatient epidemiology that is poorly understood. These findings, which are relevant both regionally and globally, can be used as a basis for further research on the full burden of CDI in Germany.

Healthcare resource utilization and cost of pneumococcal disease in children in Germany, 2014-2019: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Since the introduction of higher valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in 2009, recent estimates on the economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease (PD) in Germany have been lacking. This study estimates healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and medical cost associated with PDs in children < 16 years old in Germany from 2014-2019. METHODS: A nationally representative sample from the Institute for Applied Health Research (InGef) German claims database was used, covering approximately 5% of the total German population. Episodes of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP), all-cause pneumonia (ACP), invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), and acute otitis media (AOM) in children aged < 16 years were identified using ICD-10-GM codes. HCRU was estimated from annual rates of outpatient visits, outpatient antibiotic prescriptions and inpatient admissions, divided by person-years (PY) at-risk. Average direct medical costs per episode were estimated as the total cost of all HCRU, divided by the total number of episodes. The Mann-Kendall test was used to assess monotonic time trends from 2014-2019. RESULTS:  During 2014-2019, 916,805 children aged < 16 years were followed up for a total of 3,608,716 PY. The average costs per episode for out-versus inpatient care associated with PP and ACP were €67 (95% CI 58-76) versus €2,606 (95% CI 1,338-3,873), and €63 (95% CI 62-63) versus €620 (95% CI 598-641), respectively. For IPD, the average medical cost per episode for out-versus inpatients were €30 (95% CI 19-42) versus €6,051 (95% CI 3,323-8,779), respectively. There were no significant trends in HCRU or costs for IPD or pneumonia over the study period, except for a significant reduction in ACP outpatient visits. A significant decrease in rate of outpatient visits and antibiotic prescribing for recurrent AOM was observed, in addition to an increase in rates of hospital admissions for simple AOM. This was paralleled by a significant increase in inpatient costs per episode for treating AOM overall, and simple AOM, over the study period. CONCLUSIONS:  The HCRU and cost per episode of pneumonia and IPD did not vary significantly from 2014-2019, but increased for AOM. The economic burden of pneumonia, IPD, and AOM remains substantial in Germany.

Clinical and economic burden of pneumococcal disease among individuals aged 16 years and older in Germany.

This study assessed the incidence rate of all-cause pneumonia (ACP) and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and associated medical costs among individuals aged ≥16 in the German InGef database from 2016 to 2019. Incidence rate was expressed as the number of episodes per 100 000 person-years (PY). Healthcare resource utilisation was investigated by age group and by risk group (healthy, at-risk, high-risk). Direct medical costs per ACP/IPD episode were estimated as the total costs of all inpatient and outpatient visits. The overall incidence rate of ACP was 1345 (95% CI 1339-1352) and 8.25 (95% CI 7.76-8.77) per 100 000 PY for IPD. For both ACP and IPD, incidence rates increased with age and were higher in the high-risk and at-risk groups, in comparison to the healthy group. ACP inpatient admission rate increased with age but remained steady across age-groups for IPD. The mean direct medical costs per episode were €8075 (95% CI 7121-9028) for IPD and €1454 (95% CI 1426-1482) for ACP. The aggregate direct medical costs for IPD and ACP episodes were estimated to be €8.5 million and €248.9 million respectively. The clinical and economic burden of IPD and ACP among German adults is substantial regardless of age.

Pneumococcal vaccination coverage in individuals (16-59 years) with a newly diagnosed risk condition in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Despite recommendations from the German Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO), pneumococcal vaccination coverage remains low in vulnerable populations. This study estimated the pneumococcal vaccination coverage rate (VCR) and timing among individuals aged 16-59 years in Germany who were recommended to receive pneumococcal vaccination, according to STIKO. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using the German InGef database. Individuals aged 16 to 59 years diagnosed with at least one "at-risk" (chronic disease) or "high-risk" (e.g., immunocompromising) condition considered to be at-risk of pneumococcal infection were identified at the time of first diagnosis, between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2018, and followed up until December 31, 2019. The percentage of cumulative pneumococcal VCR with 95% confidence interval (CI) was reported for each calendar year of follow-up. RESULTS: There were 334,292 individuals followed for a median of 2.38 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.63-3.13) person years. For individuals aged 16-59 years diagnosed with an incident risk condition in 2016, pneumococcal VCR increased from 0.44% (95% CI 0.41-0.48) in 2016 to 1.24% (95% CI 1.18-1.30) in 2019. In 2019, VCRs were higher in individuals with high-risk conditions compared with at-risk conditions (2.24% (95% CI 2.09-2.40) vs. 0.90% (95% CI 0.85-0.96)). In 2019, VCRs were higher in individuals aged 50 to 59 years compared with individuals aged 16 to 49 years (2.25% (95% CI 2.10-2.41) vs. 0.90% (95% CI 0.84-0.96)). Similar trends were observed in individuals with newly diagnosed risk conditions identified in 2017 and in 2018. Older age, influenza vaccination and increasing number of risk conditions increased the likelihood of pneumococcal vaccination. Median time to vaccination from diagnosis of the risk condition was shorter for high-risk conditions (369.5 days (IQR 155.8-702.0)) compared to at-risk conditions (435.5 days (IQR 196.3-758.8)). CONCLUSION: Despite recommendations from STIKO, pneumococcal vaccination coverage remains very low and with long delays in vulnerable individuals aged 16-59 in Germany. Further efforts are required to increase immunization levels and shorten time to vaccination among individuals 16-59 years of age developing conditions with higher susceptibility to pneumococcal infection.

Increased Risk of Stroke Due to Non-adherence and Non-persistence with Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs): Real-World Analyses Using a Nested Case-Control Study from The Netherlands, Italy and Germany.

BACKGROUND: A high degree of adherence to direct oral anticoagulants is essential for reducing the risk of ischaemic stroke and systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation, owing to the rapid decline in anticoagulation activity when doses are omitted (i.e. rebound effect). OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the relationship between non-adherence and non-persistence with direct oral anticoagulants and the incidence of ischaemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. METHODS: A nested case-control study was conducted in the Netherlands, Italy and Germany among patients with atrial fibrillation starting direct oral anticoagulants between the drug approval date and the end of database availability. Patients with an ischaemic stroke during the follow-up were selected as cases and compared with matched controls (matched on age ± 5 years, sex, year of cohort entry date and CHA2DS2-VASc-score at cohort entry date). The cohort entry date was the first dispensing date. Study patients were those aged ≥ 45 years, with ≥ 1 year database history, ≥ 1 year follow-up and at least two direct oral anticoagulant dispensings after the cohort entry date. Adherence and persistence to direct oral anticoagulant treatment were defined as the proportion of days covered ≥ 80% or direct oral anticoagulant continuous use between the cohort entry date and the index date (i.e. date of ischaemic stroke), respectively. RESULTS: In The Netherlands, Italy and Germany, 105 cases and 395 controls, 1580 cases and 6248 controls, and 900 cases and 3570 controls were included, respectively. Odds ratios (ORs) for stroke among current users who were non-adherent compared to adherent users were 0.43 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.09-1.96) in The Netherlands, 1.11 (95% CI 0.98-1.26) in Italy and 1.21 (95% CI 1.01-1.45) in Germany. The risk of stroke was significantly higher among non-persistent users compared with persistent users in all three databases [OR 1.56 (95% CI 1.00-2.44), OR 1.48 (1.32-1.65) and OR 1.91 (95% CI 1.64-2.22), respectively]. In The Netherlands and Germany, the risk of stroke was higher the longer a patient had stopped using direct oral anticoagulants. CONCLUSIONS: Both non-adherence (in Germany) and non-persistence increased the risk of stroke, either using a once-daily or twice-daily regime.

Incidence of acute otitis media in children < 16 years old in Germany during 2014-2019.

BACKGROUND: Acute otitis media (AOM) remains a common infection in children despite the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. This study estimated AOM incidence rates (IRs) over time in children < 16 years old in Germany following PCV13 introduction. METHODS: AOM episodes were identified in the InGef healthcare claims database from 2014-2019 in children aged < 16 years. Each AOM episode was classified as either simple or recurrent. Recurrent AOM was defined as 3 or more episodes identified within a 6-month period; or 4 or more episodes within a 12-month period with at least one episode in the prior 6 months. AOM-related surgical procedures within 12 months and complications within 21 days of an AOM episode were also identified. Annual IRs were calculated as number of episodes/child-years (CY) at risk. 95% Confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated using the Wilson method. The Mann-Kendall test was used to assess trends over time. RESULTS: Between 2014 and 2019, the study population comprised 916,805 children with 327,726 AOM episodes, of which 15% (49,011) of all episodes were identified as recurrent AOM and 85% (278,715) as simple AOM. There were significant declines in AOM (p = 0.003) in the study population overall and in all age groups over the study period; from 101 (95%CI 101-102)/1000 CY to 79 (95%CI 78-80)/1000 CY in the total study population, from 209 (95%CI 206-212)/1000 CY to 147 (95%CI 145-150)/1000 CY in < 2-year-olds, from 239 (95%CI 237-242) to 179 (95%CI 177-182)/1000 CY in 2-4-year-olds, and from 50 (95%CI 49-50) to 38 (95%CI 37-39)/1000 CY in 5-15-year-olds. No significant trends were identified for AOM-related surgical procedures over the study period; however, AOM-related complications overall increased (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Between 2014 and 2019, AOM incidence overall declined in children aged 0-15 years in Germany. Over the study period, the incidence of complicated AOM cases increased, however the incidence of AOM-related surgical procedures remained constant. Despite the impact of PCV13, the burden associated with AOM in Germany remains substantial.

Vaccination rate and adherence of tick-borne encephalitis vaccination in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is an arboviral infection of the central nervous system. As there is no causal treatment of TBE, disease prevention by vaccination is especially important. Immunization consists of a three-dose primary vaccination schedule, followed by regular booster doses. In Germany, the Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO) at the Robert Koch-Institute recommends TBE vaccination for all those at high risk of contracting TBE. This includes individuals living in, traveling to and/or working in risk areas, and being exposed to ticks. To our knowledge, there are currently no reliable data on TBE vaccination rates in Germany available. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study based on anonymized German health claims data was conducted to determine vaccination rates of TBE primary immunization in 2012 to 2015 by federal state, compliance with the vaccination schedule, and TBE vaccination uptake for the 2011 birth cohort. Vaccination protection rates for each federal state were simulated based on a compartmental model. RESULTS: Vaccination rates of an initiated primary immunization ranged from about 3% in the southern federal states to <1% in the northern federal states. Across all federal states, compliance with the vaccination schedule decreased with each subsequent vaccination. Slightly higher TBE vaccination uptake was determined in the 2011 birth cohort, as compared to the German school entry health examination statistics in 2017. Simulated vaccination protection rates for each federal state ranged from 10% in Hamburg to 51% in Baden-Wuerttemberg. CONCLUSIONS: While there was an overall low vaccination uptake and a discrepancy between areas of high vs. low TBE risk, this study also indicates a concerning decline in vaccination compliance. Vaccinating physicians should address the importance of adherence upon initiation of TBE vaccination.

Epidemiology and health care utilization of patients suffering from Huntington's disease in Germany: real world evidence based on German claims data.

BACKGROUND: Huntington's disease (HD) is a rare, genetic, neurodegenerative and ultimately fatal disease with no cure or progression-delaying treatment currently available. HD is characterized by a triad of cognitive, behavioural and motor symptoms. Evidence on epidemiology and management of HD is limited, especially for Germany. This study aims to estimate the incidence and prevalence of HD and analyze the current routine care based on German claims data. METHODS: The source of data was a sample of the Institute for Applied Health Research Berlin (InGef) Research Database, comprising data of approximately four million insured persons from approximately 70 German statutory health insurances. The study was conducted in a retrospective cross-sectional design using 2015 and 2016 as a two-year observation period. At least two outpatient or inpatient ICD-10 codes for HD (ICD-10: G10) during the study period were required for case identification. Patients were considered incident if no HD diagnoses in the 4 years prior to the year of case identification were documented. Information on outpatient drug dispensations, medical aids and remedies were considered to describe the current treatment situation of HD patients. RESULTS: A 2-year incidence of 1.8 per 100,000 persons (95%-Confidence interval (CI): 1.4-2.4) and a 2-year period prevalence of 9.3 per 100,000 persons (95%-CI: 8.3-10.4) was observed. The prevalence of HD increased with advancing age, peaking at 60-69 years (16.8 per 100,000 persons; 95%-CI: 13.4-21.0) and decreasing afterwards. The most frequently observed comorbidities and disease-associated symptoms in HD patients were depression (42.9%), dementia (37.7%), urinary incontinence (32.5%), extrapyramidal and movement disorders (30.5%), dysphagia (28.6%) and disorders of the lipoprotein metabolism (28.2%). The most common medications in HD patients were antipsychotics (66.9%), followed by antidepressants (45.1%). Anticonvulsants (16.6%), opioids (14.6%) and hypnotics (9.7%) were observed less frequently. Physical therapy was the most often used medical aid in HD patients (46.4%). Nursing services and speech therapy were used by 27.9 and 22.7% of HD patients, respectively, whereas use of psychotherapy was rare (3.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Based on a representative sample, this study provides new insights into the epidemiology and routine care of HD patients in Germany, and thus, may serve as a starting point for further research.

Is antibacterial treatment intensity lower in elderly patients? A retrospective cohort study in a German surgical intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: Demographic change concurrent with medical progress leads to an increasing number of elderly patients in intensive care units (ICUs). Antibacterial treatment is an important, often life-saving, aspect of intensive care but burdened by the associated antimicrobial resistance risk. Elderly patients are simultaneously at greater risk of infections and may be more restrictively treated because, generally, treatment intensity declines with age. We therefore described utilization of antibacterials in ICU patients older and younger than 80 years and examined differences in the intensity of antibacterial therapy between both groups. METHODS: We analysed 17,464 valid admissions from the electronic patient data management system of our surgical ICU from April 2006 - October 2013. Antibacterial treatment rates were defined as days of treatment (exposed patient days) relative to patient days of ICU stay and calculated for old and young patients. Rates were compared in zero-inflated Poisson regression models adjusted for patients' sex, mean SAPS II- and TISS-scores, and calendar years yielding adjusted rate ratios (aRRs). Rate ratios exceeding 1 represent higher rates in old patients reflecting greater treatment intensity in old compared to younger patients. RESULTS: Observed antibacterial treatment rates were lower in patients 80 years and older compared to younger patients (30.97 and 39.73 exposed patient days per 100 patient days in the ICU, respectively). No difference in treatment intensity, however, was found from zero-inflated Poisson regression models permitting more adequate consideration of patient days with low treatment probability: for all antibacterials the adjusted rate ratio (aRR) was 1.02 (95%CI: 0.98-1.07). Treatment intensities were higher in elderly patients for penicillins (aRR 1.37 (95%CI: 1.26-1.48)), cephalosporins (aRR 1.20 (95%CI: 1.09-1.31)), carbapenems (aRR 1.35 (95%CI: 1.20-1.50)), fluoroquinolones (aRR 1.17 (95%CI: 1.05-1.30), and imidazoles (aRR 1.34 (95%CI: 1.23-1.46)). CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients were generally less likely to be treated with antibacterials. This observation, however, did not persist in patients with comparable treatment probability. In these, antibacterial treatment intensity did not differ between younger and older ICU patients, for some antibacterial classes treatment intensity was even higher in the latter. Patient-level covariates are instrumental for a nuanced evaluation of age-effects in antibacterial treatment in the ICU.

Indirect consequences of extreme weather and climate events and their associations with physical health in coastal Bangladesh: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Bangladesh is one of the countries in the world which is most prone to natural disasters. The overall situation is expected to worsen, since extreme weather and climate events (EWCE) are likely to increase in both frequency and intensity. Indirect consequences caused in the events' aftermath widen the range of possible adverse health outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of indirect consequences of EWCE and physical health. DESIGN: We used recent cross-sectional self-reported data from 16 coastal villages in Bangladesh. A total of 980 households were surveyed using a structured questionnaire. The outcome of physical health was categorized into three groups, reflecting the severity of reported diseases by the respective source of treatment as a proxy variable (hospital/clinic for severe disease, other source/no treatment for moderate disease, and no disease). The final statistical analysis was conducted using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Severe diseases were significantly associated with drinking water from open sources [odds ratio (OR): 4.26, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.25-8.09] and tube wells (OR: 2.39, 95% CI: 1.43-4.01), moderate harm by river erosion (OR: 6.24, 95% CI: 2.76-14.11), food scarcity (OR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.16-3.40), and the perception of increased employment problems (OR: 2.19, 95% CI: 1.18-4.07). Moderate diseases were significantly associated with moderate harm by river erosion (OR: 2.65, 95% CI: 1.28-5.48) and fully experienced food scarcity (OR: 1.75, 95% CI: 1.16-2.63). For both categories, women and the elderly had higher chances for diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Indirect consequences of EWCE were found to be associated with adverse health outcomes. Basic needs such as drinking water, food production, and employment opportunities are particularly likely to become threatened by EWCE and, thus, may lead to a higher likelihood of ill-health. Intervention strategies should concentrate on protection and provision of basic needs such as safe drinking water and food in the aftermath of an event.